1
Fields Of Green
5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 77
Presque Isle Downs · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-14 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-01 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-02-14 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 5-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -10.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 12/12/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 26/12/2025 | 8th | 7/2 | 82% | 30% | -0.52 |
| 14/02/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 01/03/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 14/03/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 25/05/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 67% | -0.16 |
| 24/06/2026 | 4th | 11/8 | 93% | 40% | -0.53 |
| 13/07/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 17% | -0.36 |