2
Kanazawa
4yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 86
Presque Isle Downs · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f
#1
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
79%
Place Prob
59%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-08-10 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-14 | Turfway Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-18 | Turfway Park | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength89%
Delivery trend +0.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/11/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 18/12/2025 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 05/02/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 18/02/2026 | 6th | 11/8 | 93% | 17% | -0.76 |
| 14/03/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 28/04/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 21/07/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 10/08/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 02/09/2026 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |