Warrior's Miss
6yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 80
Presque Isle Downs · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-08-18 | Penn National | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-08-12 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-07-08 | Penn National | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-06-26 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-06-11 | Penn National | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/04/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 01/05/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 29/05/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/06/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 26/06/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 25% | -0.36 |
| 08/07/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 12/08/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 18/08/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 08/09/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |