6
Mr. Colossal
4yo Colt · 8-11 · OR 80
Presque Isle Downs · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-05-25 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength49%
Delivery trend -3.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 19/02/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 08/03/2026 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 44% | -0.38 |
| 25/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 83% | +0.10 |
| 16/06/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 06/07/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 27/07/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 11/08/2026 | 6th | 5/4 | 93% | 29% | -0.65 |
| 14/09/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 88% | -0.03 |