2
T' Ray
3yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 73
Presque Isle Downs · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#1
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
47%
Place Prob
45%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-17 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-01 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-05-07 | Thistledown | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-03-19 | Turfway Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-02-27 | Turfway Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength66%
Delivery trend +1.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/02/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 73% | +0.15 |
| 19/03/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 07/05/2026 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 01/06/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |
| 17/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 04/08/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |