8
Come As You Are
5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 74
Presque Isle Downs · Race 7 - Allowance · 6f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Penn National | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Penn National | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-04-25 | Keeneland | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-02-16 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2024-11-24 | Churchill Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2024-11-13 | Churchill Downs | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength26%
Delivery trend -6.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/2024 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 07/09/2024 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 15/09/2024 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 13/11/2024 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 24/11/2024 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 16/02/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 25/04/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 57% | -0.06 |
| 31/07/2026 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 20/08/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |