3
I B Flyin
3yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 81
Presque Isle Downs · Race 7 - Allowance · 6f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-07-23 | Penn National | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Fair Grounds | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-02-05 | Fair Grounds | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-01-08 | Turfway Park | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength72%
Delivery trend +0.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 29/11/2025 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 13% | -0.35 |
| 08/01/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 29% | -0.29 |
| 05/02/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 13/03/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 14% | -0.33 |
| 02/05/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 23/07/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 19/08/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |