5

Jenadriyah
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 81
Presque Isle Downs · Race 7 - Allowance · 6f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
13%
Place Prob
27%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 2.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2026-07-28 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2026-07-13 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-23 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-02 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength62%
Delivery trend +4.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/03/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |
| 16/04/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 67% | -0.23 |
| 18/05/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 83% | +0.23 |
| 02/06/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 23/06/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 60% | -0.24 |
| 13/07/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 28/07/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 18/08/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 02/09/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |