IvyArcIvyArc
4

Tiger Division

4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 84

Presque Isle Downs · Race 7 - Allowance · 6f 110y

#4

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Turfway Park 01/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 60 · 6f 124 · beat its mark01/03/2026 · OR 60 par1/03C8OR 60C8 @ Turfway Park 11/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 63 · 6f110y 124 · below its mark11/03/2026 · OR 63 parC8 @ Turfway Park 29/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 76 · 6f 124 · below its mark29/03/2026 · OR 76 par29/03C8OR 76C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 02/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 79 · 1m Fm 122 · beat its mark02/05/2026 · OR 79 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 25/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 80 · 1m110y Slo 122 · below its mark25/05/2026 · OR 80 par25/05C5OR 80C8 @ Presque Isle Downs 10/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 77 · 6f 123 · below its mark10/06/2026 · OR 77 parC5 @ Presque Isle Downs 03/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 77 · 6f 123 · beat its mark03/07/2026 · OR 77 par3/07C5OR 77C8 @ Presque Isle Downs 18/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 79 · 6f 123 · below its mark18/08/2026 · OR 79 parC5 @ Presque Isle Downs 02/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 82 · 6f 123 · beat its mark02/09/2026 · OR 82 par2/09C5OR 82projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Presque Isle Downs?2nd2nd0
2026-08-18Presque Isle Downs?2nd5th−3
2026-07-03Presque Isle Downs?4th4th0
2026-06-10Presque Isle Downs?2nd5th−3
2026-05-25Horseshoe Indianapolis?7th7th0
2026-05-02Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/032/053/072/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength71%

Delivery trend -2.4% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/03/20261st10/147%100%+0.53
11/03/20267th9/276%25%-0.51
29/03/20262nd7/163%90%+0.27
02/05/20263rd14/126%80%+0.54
25/05/20267th6/168%0%-0.68
10/06/20262nd7/491%75%-0.16
03/07/20264th10/147%50%+0.03
18/08/20262nd3/184%80%-0.04
02/09/20262nd6/168%80%+0.12