3
Claire's Darling
8yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 65
Presque Isle Downs · Race 8 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 7-8 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -3.1% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 06/10/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 23/10/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 22/11/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 03/06/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 25% | -0.43 |
| 08/07/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |
| 20/07/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/08/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 07/09/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 25% | -0.43 |