2
High Track
5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 69
Presque Isle Downs · Race 8 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-10-14 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-29 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-15 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength60%
Delivery trend -0.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 88% | +0.30 |
| 04/08/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 19/08/2025 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 15/09/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 29/09/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 14/10/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 22/07/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/08/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 07/09/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |