Old Fashioned Girl
5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 77
Presque Isle Downs · Race 8 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#7
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-07-28 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-22 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-07 | Turfway Park | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-12-20 | Turfway Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.4% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 02/10/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 25/10/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 14% | -0.33 |
| 20/12/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 73% | +0.10 |
| 07/02/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/05/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 43% | -0.15 |
| 22/06/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 28/07/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 29/08/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |