2

Ayuq

2yo Colt · 9-7

Southwell · Weekend Winners On At The Races Maiden Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m 13y

#3

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

7%

Place Prob

16%

Rank

#3

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Made appeal on paper but looked in need of the experience when ninth of 11 in maiden at Ascot (7f, good, 12/1) on debut 18 days ago. May need more time.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 9.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Ascot 04/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 7f Goo 1334/093
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Ascot39th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 7-12 · 50%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength65%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/09/20269th12/137%20%-0.17