11

Lady Ranya

2yo Filly · 9-2

Southwell · Weekend Winners On At The Races Maiden Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m 13y

#7

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Sent off big odds and ran to just a modest level in maiden at Sandown (7f, soft) on debut 24 days ago. Probably one for handicaps later on.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength22%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 3
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Sandown 29/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 7f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS29/082
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Sandown26th5th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 4-9 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength14%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/08/20266th50/10%29%+0.29