Darn Hot Gallop
3yo Filly · 9-8 · OR 83
Southwell · attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap (Div 1) · 1m 13y
#4
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Kempton | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Newmarket | 3 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-19 | Royal Ascot | 2 | 17th | 15th | +2 |
| 2026-05-03 | Newmarket | 1 | 17th | 12th | +4 |
| 2026-04-14 | Newmarket | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Newcastle | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -10.1% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 22/11/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 14/04/2026 | 1st | 22/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 03/05/2026 | 17th | 80/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 19/06/2026 | 17th | 25/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 17/07/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 19/08/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |