9
King Of Fury
6yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 78
Southwell · attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap (Div 1) · 1m 13y
#9
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Southwell | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Carlisle | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Southwell | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Southwell | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-18 | Ripon | 5 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-06-08 | Carlisle | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 4-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength19%
Delivery trend +4.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/01/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 14% | -0.62 |
| 18/02/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 01/05/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 64% | +0.37 |
| 08/06/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 70% | -0.04 |
| 18/06/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 05/07/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 27/07/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 19/08/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 11% | -0.36 |
| 27/08/2026 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 10% | +0.05 |