Londoner
6yo Gelding · 10-2 · OR 87
Southwell · attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap (Div 1) · 1m 13y
#3
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 6.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Salisbury | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Lingfield | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Sandown | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Windsor | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-28 | Ripon | 3 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 03/04/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 07/05/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 28/05/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 11% | -0.26 |
| 29/06/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 23/07/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |
| 01/08/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 12/08/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 40% | -0.46 |
| 07/09/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 91% | +0.33 |