7
Date Line
3yo Filly · 9-8 · OR 83
Southwell · attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap (Div 2) · 1m 13y
#4
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength30%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Ascot | 2 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-08-14 | Newmarket | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-06-20 | Newmarket | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-06-07 | Doncaster | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength32%
Delivery trend +11.1% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 20/06/2025 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 14/08/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 05/09/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |