Lady Nenaz

2yo Filly · 9-2

Southwell · Follow AtTheRaces On X Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f 14y

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

★★ Timeform

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read

Move▼1

Strength45%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class: 3

Recent avg: C3.0

Today: 4

Class gap: +1.0

Higher-class runs: 2

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-08	Leicester	3	7th	6th	+1	4.2
2026-08-19	Kempton	3	9th	8th	+1	2.2

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 10-10 · 68%

▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price

Trend▼

Strength1%

Delivery trend -13.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
19/08/2026	9th	50/1	0%	27%	+0.27
08/09/2026	7th	200/1	0%	14%	+0.14