8

Shaqra Queen

2yo Filly · 8-13

Southwell · Follow AtTheRaces On X Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f 14y

#5

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Holy Roman Emperor who showed only a bit more than on debut when fourth of 5 in novice at Carlisle (7f, good to firm) 42 days ago. Possibly more one for nurseries after this.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength16%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Pontefract 26/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 5f3y Goo 12826/0743 @ Carlisle 11/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR - · 6f195y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS11/083projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-11Carlisle34th3rd+1
2026-07-26Pontefract46th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0711/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +109.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/07/20266th3/184%0%-0.84
11/08/20264th25/10%25%+0.25