8
Bami
3yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 75
Southwell · Download The At The Races App Fillies' Handicap · 7f 14y
#9
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#9
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength11%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 2.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Newmarket | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-23 | Newbury | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-12-10 | Kempton | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-20 | Lingfield | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-11-03 | Southwell | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-10-14 | Leicester | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength69%
Delivery trend +11.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10/2025 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 57% | +0.02 |
| 03/11/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 71% | -0.02 |
| 20/11/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 10/12/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 57% | +0.31 |
| 23/06/2026 | 1st | 33/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 21/08/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 83% | +0.20 |