7
Miss Lady Grace
3yo Filly · 9-8 · OR 77
Southwell · Download The At The Races App Fillies' Handicap · 7f 14y
#6
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#6
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-12 | Chester | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Goodwood | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-26 | Wetherby | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Lingfield | 5 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-02-27 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-13 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 8-12 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength6%
Delivery trend -1.9% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 6th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 63% | +0.36 |
| 30/08/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 06/10/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 13/02/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 83% | +0.02 |
| 27/02/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 25/03/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 26/04/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 29% | +0.23 |
| 05/06/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 12/06/2026 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |