9
Town Queen
3yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 75
Southwell · Download The At The Races App Fillies' Handicap · 7f 14y
#4
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#4
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Carlisle | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Southwell | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Chester | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Thirsk | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Pontefract | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 7-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -12.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/04/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 02/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 75% | -0.16 |
| 30/05/2026 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 90% | -0.05 |
| 18/06/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 27/08/2026 | 7th | 15/8 | 90% | 0% | -0.90 |