8

Imagine That

3yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 54

Southwell · Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap · 6f 16y

#8

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Modest maiden handicapper. Posted a solid fifth of 7 at Epsom (7f, good to firm) in July. Needs to build on it after a break on her tapeta debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength72%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Kempton 24/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 6f Sta 128 · HIGHER CLASS24/0944 @ Kempton 04/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 6f Sta 127 · HIGHER CLASS4/0544 @ Salisbury 23/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 6f Gd 128 · HIGHER CLASS23/0545 @ Goodwood 12/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 60 · 6f Sft 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/06/2026 · OR 60 par12/065OR 606 @ Chepstow 27/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 58 · 7f16y GF 128 · beat its mark27/06/2026 · OR 58 par27/066OR 586 @ Epsom Downs 30/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 56 · 7f3y GF 126 · beat its mark30/07/2026 · OR 56 par30/076OR 56projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-30Epsom Downs65th5th0
2026-06-27Chepstow64th4th0
2026-06-12Goodwood55th4th+1
2026-05-23Salisbury45th3rd+2
2026-05-04Kempton410th8th+2
2025-09-24Kempton47th5th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/094/0523/0512/0627/0630/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 7-12 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength8%

Delivery trend -12.4% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/09/20257th125/10%33%+0.33
04/05/202610th80/10%10%+0.10
23/05/20265th100/10%64%+0.64
12/06/20265th8/158%50%-0.08
27/06/20264th7/282%50%-0.32
30/07/20265th10/147%33%-0.14