
Imagine That
3yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 54
Southwell · Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap · 6f 16y
#8
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 6.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | Epsom Downs | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Chepstow | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Goodwood | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Salisbury | 4 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-05-04 | Kempton | 4 | 10th | 8th | +2 |
| 2025-09-24 | Kempton | 4 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -12.4% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09/2025 | 7th | 125/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 04/05/2026 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 23/05/2026 | 5th | 100/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 12/06/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 27/06/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 30/07/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |