Koffee And Kale
3yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 60
Southwell · Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap · 6f 16y
#3
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
24%
Place Prob
24%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Windsor | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Windsor | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-07-30 | Epsom Downs | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Doncaster | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-06-25 | Newcastle | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 78% | +0.36 |
| 13/05/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |
| 13/06/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 25/06/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 64% | +0.03 |
| 09/07/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 30/07/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 50% | -0.05 |
| 13/08/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 24/08/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 63% | -0.09 |
| 15/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 88% | -0.01 |