La Belle Forest
3yo Filly · 9-9 · OR 60
Southwell · Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap · 6f 16y
#4
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-08-20 | Lingfield | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-18 | Southwell | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-04 | Ffos Las | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-04-09 | Southwell | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-03-13 | Southwell | 4 | 1st | -1th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10/2025 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 43% | -0.40 |
| 08/11/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 71% | -0.13 |
| 13/03/2026 | 1st | 85/40 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 09/04/2026 | 7th | 11/8 | 93% | 14% | -0.78 |
| 04/06/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 29% | -0.40 |
| 18/06/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 29% | -0.14 |
| 20/08/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 50% | +0.08 |
| 07/09/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 25% | -0.17 |