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Music And Song

3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 45

Southwell · Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap · 6f 16y

#11

Rank

Odds

80/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Poor ex-Irish maiden. Yet to offer much in a pair of 6f handicaps for new yard at Lingfield (all-weather) and Chepstow this summer. Makes tapeta debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength51%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class: BHA40
Recent avg: C5.7
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Dundalk 06/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 7f Std 1286/03C8C8 @ Dundalk 01/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 1m2f150y Std 129BHA48 @ Sligo 03/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 48 · 1m2f158y Sft 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/05/2026 · OR 48 par3/0548OR 48BHA44 @ Gowran Park 01/06/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 44 · 1m1f120y Yie 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/06/2026 · OR 44 parC8 @ Ballinrobe 22/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 40 · 1m1f163y Yie 130 · beat its mark22/06/2026 · OR 40 par22/06C8OR 40C7 @ Fairyhouse 08/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 40 · 1m2f Goo 122 · beat its mark08/07/2026 · OR 40 parBHA40 @ Ballinrobe 20/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 40 · 1m1f135y Goo 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/07/2026 · OR 40 par20/0740OR 406 @ Lingfield 08/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 39 · 6f1y Std 131 · beat its mark08/08/2026 · OR 39 par6 @ Chepstow 09/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 45 · 6f16y GF 126 · beat its mark09/08/2026 · OR 45 par9/086OR 45projClass-projected finish: 11th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-09Chepstow66th6th0
2026-08-08Lingfield69th9th0
2026-07-20BallinrobeBHA408th6th+2
2026-07-08Fairyhouse?5th6th−1
2026-06-22Ballinrobe?4th6th−2
2026-06-01Gowran ParkBHA4412th10th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/031/0620/079/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 8-12 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength3%

Delivery trend -2.2% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/03/20269th150/10%0%0.00
01/04/20269th400/10%0%0.00
03/05/20266th50/10%38%+0.38
01/06/202612th50/10%15%+0.15
22/06/20264th66/10%50%+0.50
08/07/20265th80/10%50%+0.50
20/07/20268th14/126%13%-0.14
08/08/20269th100/10%11%+0.11
09/08/20266th9/153%29%-0.24