9
My Mate Mackley
3yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 53
Southwell · Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap · 6f 16y
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
40%
Place Prob
30%
Rank
#2
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength38%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Windsor | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-01 | Brighton | 5 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-08-14 | Yarmouth | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Lingfield | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Chepstow | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength98%
Delivery trend +6.7% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06/2026 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 0% | -0.92 |
| 30/06/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 23/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 83% | -0.05 |
| 30/07/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 57% | -0.28 |
| 09/08/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 13/08/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 14/08/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 01/09/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 07/09/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 70% | -0.04 |