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5

Torbados

3yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 57

Southwell · Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap · 6f 16y

#5

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

8%

Rank

#5

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Remains winless and not proving the easiest to catch right, a below-par fourth of 6 in handicap at Windsor (1m, good to firm) 29 days ago. Back down in trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength53%

What the class read says

Favourable class profile — form adjusted for the quality of opposition looks competitive here. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 6.2)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Newmarket 04/10/2025 · Pos 17th of 26 · OR - · 7f Goo 123 · HIGHER CLASS4/1025 @ Lingfield 14/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 64 · 7f1y Std 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/10/2025 · OR 64 par5 @ Kempton 01/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 66 · 6f Sta 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/12/2025 · OR 66 par1/125OR 666 @ Doncaster 25/04/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 65 · 7f6y Goo 135 · below its mark25/04/2026 · OR 65 par5 @ Lingfield 26/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 64 · 7f Goo 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/05/2026 · OR 64 par26/055OR 646 @ Kempton 08/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR 61 · 1m Sta 131 · beat its mark08/07/2026 · OR 61 par6 @ Wolverhampton 21/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 60 · 7f36y Std 135 · beat its mark21/07/2026 · OR 60 par21/076OR 606 @ Windsor 10/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 58 · 1m31y GF 133 · beat its mark10/08/2026 · OR 58 par6 @ Windsor 24/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 58 · 1m31y Goo 130 · beat its mark24/08/2026 · OR 58 par24/086OR 58projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-24Windsor64th4th0
2026-08-10Windsor62nd2nd0
2026-07-21Wolverhampton66th6th0
2026-07-08Kempton64th4th0
2026-05-26Lingfield55th4th+1
2026-04-25Doncaster612th12th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/1025/0421/0724/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength69%

Delivery trend -1.7% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/10/202517th250/10%36%+0.36
14/10/20253rd8/158%85%+0.27
01/12/20256th5/174%17%-0.57
25/04/202612th5/174%0%-0.74
26/05/20265th20/10%33%+0.33
08/07/20264th9/153%75%+0.22
21/07/20266th5/287%44%-0.42
10/08/20262nd11/142%89%+0.47
24/08/20264th9/276%40%-0.36