8
Galahad Threepwood
9yo Gelding · 9-1 · OR 45
Southwell · Free Tips Daily On attheraces.com Handicap · 2m 102y
#9
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength59%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Newcastle | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Newcastle | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Ayr | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-06-17 | Hamilton | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-05-07 | Kelso | 5 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-04-11 | Ayr | 4 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength16%
Delivery trend -2.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/02/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 03/03/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 22/03/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 11/04/2025 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 07/05/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 17/06/2026 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/07/2026 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 31/07/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 20/08/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |