3

Lady Of Clover
3yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 59
Southwell · Free Tips Daily On attheraces.com Handicap · 2m 102y
#4
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength46%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Lingfield | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Lingfield | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Chepstow | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Yarmouth | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Yarmouth | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength29%
Delivery trend -6.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/2026 | 7th | 150/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 24/03/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 09/04/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 55% | -0.06 |
| 21/04/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |
| 02/06/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 10/06/2026 | 4th | 11/10 | 94% | 67% | -0.28 |
| 03/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 22/08/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 03/09/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |