Sir Griflet
3yo Gelding · 9-1 · OR 54
Southwell · Free Tips Daily On attheraces.com Handicap · 2m 102y
#5
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Chester | 5 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-09-03 | Lingfield | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Lingfield | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Ascot | 4 | 10th | 8th | +2 |
| 2026-06-11 | Nottingham | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.0% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 3rd of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/2026 | 5th | 125/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 18/05/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 02/06/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 57% | +0.15 |
| 11/06/2026 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 29% | -0.54 |
| 25/07/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 30/07/2026 | 12th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 08/08/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 03/09/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 60% | -0.24 |
| 11/09/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 82% | +0.34 |