Hanney Girl
3yo Filly · 9-5 · OR 71
Southwell · Free Bets On attheraces.com Handicap · 4f 214y
#4
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Catterick | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Chester | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-08-12 | Beverley | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | York | 2 | 9th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-06-05 | Epsom Downs | 2 | 9th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-05-23 | Haydock | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -7.3% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10/2025 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 50% | +0.08 |
| 18/04/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 15/05/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 23/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 71% | -0.05 |
| 05/06/2026 | 9th | 7/1 | 63% | 47% | -0.16 |
| 27/06/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 33% | +0.28 |
| 12/08/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 22/08/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 08/09/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 88% | +0.05 |