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8

Golden Knight

3yo Colt · 9-8 · OR 89

Southwell · Weekend Winners On At The Races Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 4f 14y

#8

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Camelot colt who got back on the up when successful in 1¼m handicap at Ascot in July. Hampered last 1f when a good third of 4 at Newbury (1¼m, good to firm) following month. Interesting contender back up in trip on his tapeta debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength32%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Haydock 27/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 7f212y Goo 12827/0944 @ Newmarket 22/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 1m Gd 13322/1041 @ Sandown 28/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 1m Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS28/0512 @ Royal Ascot 18/06/2026 · Pos 12th of 19 · OR 87 · 1m3f211y GF 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/06/2026 · OR 87 par18/062OR 874 @ Ascot 10/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 86 · 1m1f212y GF 131 · beat its mark10/07/2026 · OR 86 par10/074OR 863 @ Newbury 15/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR 89 · 1m2f GF 129 · beat its mark15/08/2026 · OR 89 par15/083OR 89projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-15Newbury33rd3rd0
2026-07-10Ascot41st2nd−1
2026-06-18Royal Ascot212th11th+1
2026-05-28Sandown16th3rd+2
2025-10-22Newmarket41st2nd−1
2025-09-27Haydock44th5th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0922/1028/0518/0610/0715/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength45%

Delivery trend -12.1% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/09/20254th11/142%63%+0.20
22/10/20251st11/486%100%+0.14
28/05/20266th28/10%29%+0.29
18/06/202612th14/126%39%+0.13
10/07/20261st13/891%100%+0.09
15/08/20263rd7/491%33%-0.57