5
Digital Footprint
10yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 74
Thistledown · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength21%
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 8th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/02/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 13% | -0.14 |
| 25/02/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 17/03/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/04/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 27/05/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 16/06/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 08/07/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 10/08/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 20/08/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 75% | +0.14 |