9
Skibidi Rizz
4yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 64
Thistledown · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength66%
Delivery trend -0.9% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 14/03/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 11/04/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 16/05/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 02/07/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 13/07/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 30/07/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 33% | -0.49 |
| 20/08/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 20% | -0.48 |
| 14/09/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 83% | +0.57 |