Greek Boutique
4yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 27
Thistledown · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
7%
Place Prob
16%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Thistledown | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-07-01 | Thistledown | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2025-10-23 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2024-09-12 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2024-08-06 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2024-07-01 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07/2024 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 06/08/2024 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |
| 12/09/2024 | 1st | 4/9 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 23/10/2025 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 14% | -0.52 |
| 01/07/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 26/08/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |