Miss Lora Ann
3yo Filly · 8-3 · OR 51
Thistledown · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
11/10
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-11 | Thistledown | ? | 9th | 6th | +3 |
| 2025-11-24 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 2nd | -2th | +3 |
| 2025-11-03 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2025-10-09 | Thistledown | ? | 7th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2025-09-10 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -18.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 09/10/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 03/11/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 24/11/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 11/05/2026 | 9th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |