6
Kukuk
3yo Colt · 8-7 · OR 65
Thistledown · Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 10th | −3 |
| 2026-05-02 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 10th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength93%
Delivery trend +4.9% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/04/2026 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 02/05/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 09/05/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 20/05/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 08/06/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 01/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 01/09/2026 | 3rd | 5/4 | 93% | 60% | -0.33 |