7
Zakaria
8yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 73
Thistledown · Race 4 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
96%
Place Prob
70%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength35%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-23 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +2.7% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/12/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 05/02/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |
| 23/02/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 03/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 23/06/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 43% | -0.26 |
| 14/07/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 28/07/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 86% | +0.25 |
| 19/08/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |