Spirit Of Akron
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 74
Thistledown · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
21%
Place Prob
32%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.9 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-05-28 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2026-04-10 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-03-23 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-09 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/11/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 24/12/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 15/01/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 88% | +0.02 |
| 09/03/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 23/03/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 71% | +0.11 |
| 10/04/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 20% | -0.66 |
| 06/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 28/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 02/09/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 40% | -0.21 |