2

Basis Point

3yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 63

Thistledown · Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f 110y

#1

Rank

Odds

13/8

Win Prob

82%

Place Prob

59%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move3
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Monmouth Park 26/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 1m Fm 11926/07C9
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-26Monmouth Park?2nd5th3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-5 · 50%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength89%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/07/20262nd9/488%83%-0.05