7
Honor Quest
3yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 34
Thistledown · Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-01 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-02 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-21 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-06 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength69%
Delivery trend +14.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/01/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 21/01/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 02/03/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 40% | -0.21 |
| 01/04/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 20/06/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.22 |
| 31/08/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |