4
Here Kitty Kitty
6yo Mare · 8-7 · OR 66
Thistledown · Race 8 - Claiming · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength29%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Thistledown | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Thistledown | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength39%
Delivery trend -0.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/03/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 67% | -0.20 |
| 08/04/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 20/04/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 27/04/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 25/05/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 14% | -0.62 |
| 24/06/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 11% | -0.26 |
| 14/07/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/07/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 01/09/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |