2
Lady Giuliana
6yo Mare · 8-7 · OR 59
Thistledown · Race 8 - Claiming · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Thistledown | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength34%
Delivery trend +1.3% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 5th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/03/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 75% | +0.07 |
| 27/04/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 05/05/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 26/05/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 15/06/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 07/07/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 28/07/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 22% | -0.04 |
| 18/08/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 07/09/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |