Magic Palace
7yo Mare · 8-7 · OR 63
Thistledown · Race 8 - Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Thistledown | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-25 | Thistledown | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-11-25 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-10-29 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.8% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 23/09/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |
| 02/10/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 29/10/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 25/11/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 25/05/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 09/07/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 12/08/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 25% | -0.51 |
| 09/09/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |