7
Princess Opal
5yo Mare · 8-7 · OR 47
Thistledown · Race 8 - Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Mountaineer | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-19 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 5-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -5.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/12/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 22/01/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 25/02/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 19/03/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 09/06/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/07/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 03/08/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 12/08/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 09/09/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |