8
Lady Enid
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 43
Vaal · 4Racing Welcomes You Maiden Plate · 5f 212y
#6
Rank
Odds
125/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Vaal | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Vaal | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Turffontein | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Vaal | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Turffontein | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Vaal | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength22%
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/01/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 26/02/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/03/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 30/04/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/05/2026 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 11/07/2026 | 6th | 100/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 13/08/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 27/08/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |