6

Shining Star

3yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 63

Vaal · 4Racing Welcomes You Maiden Plate · 5f 212y

#2

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

8%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

20/1, eleventh of 13 in minor event at this course (7f, good). Off 96 days.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 9.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Vaal 21/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 12621/05C8C8 @ Vaal 18/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 13218/06C8projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 3
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-18Vaal?11th11th0
2026-05-21Vaal?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0518/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 4-4 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength39%

Delivery trend -3.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/05/20267th7/163%57%-0.06
18/06/202611th14/126%17%-0.10