4

Oropendola

2yo Colt · 8-11

Vichy · Prix De Saint-loup Claiming Stakes · 6f 211y

#5

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength1%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Lyon-Parilly 13/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 6f156y GS 12413/06C5C5 @ Deauville 26/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Std 12726/06C5C5 @ Saint-Cloud 08/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 7f209y GS 1308/07C5C5 @ Dieppe 18/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 13018/07C5C5 @ Vichy 24/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 4f213y GS 12724/07C5C5 @ Chantilly 04/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 6f101y Std 1304/09C5C5 @ Le Mans 11/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 12711/09C5projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Le Mans?8th8th0
2026-09-04Chantilly?7th7th0
2026-07-24Vichy?5th5th0
2026-07-18Dieppe?3rd3rd0
2026-07-08Saint-Cloud?6th6th0
2026-06-26Deauville?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0618/0711/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength65%

Delivery trend +4.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/06/20267th40/10%0%0.00
26/06/20268th80/10%22%+0.22
08/07/20266th28/10%38%+0.38
18/07/20263rd20/10%71%+0.71
24/07/20265th18/15%43%+0.38
04/09/20267th50/10%25%+0.25
11/09/20268th40/10%36%+0.36